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# Saturday, November 01, 2008

WASHINGTON – Construction spending fell by a smaller-than-expected amount in September as a rebound in nonresidential activity helped offset further weakness in home building.

The Commerce Department says construction spending dropped by 0.3 percent in September, less than the 0.8 percent decline many economists had been expecting. Spending had been up by 0.3 percent in August after a huge 2.4 percent plunge in July.

The weakness in September was led by a 1.3 percent drop in housing construction, which has fallen every month but two over the past 30 months. Spending on government projects fell by 1.3 percent, the biggest setback since January.

Saturday, November 01, 2008 8:24:45 AM (Pacific Daylight Time, UTC-07:00)  #    - Trackback
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WASHINGTON – Evidence of a recession piled ever higher Friday, with new figures showing Americans are spending less and gloomy about the economy, while the government signaled it won't buy stock in the financing arms of auto companies to prop them up. The Commerce Department reported consumer spending dropped a sharp 0.3 percent in September while their incomes, the fuel for future spending, managed only a small 0.2 percent gain.

That followed a report a day earlier that the U.S. economy shrank by 0.3 percent in the third quarter. The accepted definition of a recession is two straight quarters of a shrinking economy.

Closing out the worst October in 21 years but one of the best weeks ever, investors did some bargain shopping on Wall Street, snapping up stocks that have plunged in value. The Dow Jones industrial average gained nearly 145 points.

Meanwhile, the outgoing Bush administration sent signals to automakers and other industries hoping for government purchases of their stock that they probably won't qualify for the program.

Administration officials, who spoke on condition of anonymity because the program is still being put together, said it was unlikely the auto companies would be able to qualify for direct government purchases of stock in their auto-financing arms as part of the $250 billion stock purchase program.

They could still be eligible for government purchases of bad assets, such as auto loans, under a separate program that is expected to spend $100 billion initially. The government plans to buy stock in banks and lift bad assets on their books as part of the financial system bailout.

The wrangling over the broader rescue program continued, with Democrats stressing Congress wants the package to be used to pump new loans into the economy, not diverted to stockholders or executives or to buy other banks.

"I am deeply disappointed that a number of financial institutions are distorting the legislation that Congress passed," said House Financial Services Committee Chairman Barney Frank, D-Mass. He announced hearings on the rescue package Nov. 12 and 18.

The Treasury Department said it would extend a Nov. 15 deadline for banks that do not have publicly traded stock to apply for the government stock-purchasing plan — a plan that could extend to 6,000 banks.

The bank rescue is intended to shore up financial companies and get lending, the lifeblood of the economy, going again.

Meanwhile, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke said in a speech that whatever system is constructed following the government takeover of mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac must have better safeguards to make sure it can work during times of stress.

Bernanke said the credit crisis had exposed serious deficiencies in areas beyond home loans.

"The boom in subprime mortgage lending was only part of a much broader credit boom characterized by underpricing of risk, excessive leverage and the creation of complex and opaque financial instruments that proved fragile under stress," Bernanke said.

As the nation learns more about what went wrong, the economy grows ever bleaker. The Commerce Department report that consumer spending fell by 0.3 percent in September followed two months in which spending was essentially flat.

A separate survey released Friday by the University of Michigan and Reuters showed consumer confidence in October fell to 57.6, the biggest one-month drop in the survey's history, which dates to 1978.

And economists expect Americans to cut back further. The nation's financial outlook is dimming just as the critical holiday shopping season looms, and stores are bracing for one of the worst on record.

David Wyss, chief economist at Standard & Poor's in New York, said he believed the recession could turn out to be the longest in the post World War II period.

"Things are still looking soft and the light at the end of the tunnel is a long way off," Wyss said.

In a separate report, the Labor Department said the wages and benefits of U.S. workers rose by a modest 0.7 percent in the third quarter, the same as in the first and second quarters.

The spending report showed that an inflation gauge tied to spending edged up just 0.1 percent in September. But prices over the past year are up by more than 4 percent, and inflation is outside the Fed's comfort zone.

Still, the central bank is expected to focus on fighting to keep the country out of a severe recession — not raising rates to fight inflation.

The Fed cut a key interest rate by a half-point on Wednesday to 1 percent, tying the lowest level in the past half-century. Analysts said if the economy remains weak, the Fed could well cut rates again at their last meeting of the year on Dec. 16.

___

Associated Press Writers Jennifer Loven and Christopher Rugaber in Washington contributed to this report.

Saturday, November 01, 2008 8:20:47 AM (Pacific Daylight Time, UTC-07:00)  #    - Trackback
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# Sunday, October 26, 2008

The lights are out already and the door is locked at the LaCabana Mexican Restaurant on Martin Luther King Boulevard.

Only the fading sun provides a peek into the deserted interior. It is well before 6 p.m. on a weeknight, but the once-popular neighborhood spot is among the growing number of businesses opting to cut their losses by cutting their hours.
 
Limiting business hours is being seen as a Band-Aid to stop the financial bleeding in an economic setting that has already proven to be worse than the previous downturn. The last recession included the aftermath of the Sept. 11, 2001, terrorist attacks and the dot-com collapse. LaCabana owner William Jacobs recently reduced the 17-year-old restaurant's hours of operation by more than 25 percent. The restaurant was just this spring open more than 90 hours a week. Today, it is open 65 hours a week.

Jacobs was hit especially hard by the economic skid because he also owns the Paradise Lounge next door. The bar's revenue helped to cushion the drop in business at LaCabana for a while, but it is also seeing fewer patrons.

The high-spending construction workers and laborers have vanished, he lamented, leaving the restaurant near Alta Drive to try to survive on new budget-conscious lunch specials.

"We cut off about five hours a day during the week," he said. "We cut the equivalent of three workdays off our schedule."

That also meant letting four of his 11 employees go. He made the choice to lay off some workers altogether rather than make everybody work fewer hours. The ones kept on full time are more loyal to their employer, he theorized.

Even with shorter hours and a lighter payroll, Jacobs said he can only hope he has a lean enough business to survive.

"I probably would lose about $1,000 a month. If I kept going that way, we would have had to close our doors," he said.

Not far from Jacobs' restaurant is a another valley staple, El Sombrero on Main Street. The Las Vegas favorite of three decades once benefited from a resurgent downtown. Nestled on an old industrial stretch, an auto repair shop serves as one of El Sombrero's neighbors. Customers liked the old Vegas feel, however, and would come in until 10 or 11 p.m. Owner Jose Aragon shuts his doors at about 4 p.m. now.

"Oh yes, we barely made it through the year so far," he said.

The El Sombrero owner has cut about a third of his business hours, from being open 64 hours a week two years ago to about 44 today. Aragon kept on just a small staff, now made up of family members. The ghost-town atmosphere after lunch, and his advancing years, made it impractical to keep the doors open late anymore.

"It was costing me more to keep it open and pay employees. I cut three people, 31/2, from the night crew," he said. "Now, it is just me and my wife, my nephew, my sister-in-law and my son."

An oversaturation of restaurants and fewer customers to go around has gotten to be too much for the longtime owner.

"It's the economy and the fact that there is a lot more competition, too," Aragon said.

Those looking for late afternoon eats and dinner options downtown will find fewer choices. For reasons not necessarily economic, Jason's Deli across from Las Vegas Premium Outlets Mall and the planned Union Park, has reduced its hours, too, eliminating weekends and closing after the last lunch rush. The new hours are more consistent with those the chain has in other downtown cities across the country, Jason's Deli marking director Chris Flynn said.

"We have changed hours and reduced hours. It is solely for the reason that development in the area is not built out yet," he said. "When development across the street is built, we will get back to our regular hours."

Restaurants aren't the only businesses that are turning out the lights earlier or more often these days. The Curves gym at the Las Vegas Beltway and Decatur Boulevard has opted to cut hours in the middle of the day. Owner Bob Ansara said membership was "stagnant" for the past 18 months, except for about six people dropping memberships for undisclosed reasons. One trainer said the sagging economy was a factor.

"We've heard a lot of women, with the economy, were calling up to say they had to drop their memberships," the employee said.

Trainers, also, were asked to accept reduced hours.

The change in Curves' hours -- closing roughly three hours in the middle of each weekday and opening four fewer hours on weekends -- is consistent with the Curves corporate model, Ansara said. He had gone outside the normal hours to see if they would prove profitable. They weren't.

Anytime Fitness, a competitor, offers nonstaffed 24-hour access through keys provided to members, said Yorgho Triantaphyllou, the owner of the West Charleston Boulevard location. No one staffs the gym after 8 p.m. on weeknights or on weekends.

Triantaphyllou lauded his low overhead costs through the do-it-yourself model. But Ansara said he would "be concerned about the liability" of having a nonstaffed facility. Ansara has more than Curves to watch. He also owns Ricardo's Mexican Restaurant and has seen that business drop 10 percent, resulting in six layoffs. While he concedes his two ventures might be deemed discretionary by economists, Ansara said no one is safe.

"I've seen a lot of things cut that were nondiscretionary," he said.

It doesn't surprise economist Keith Schwer that businesses are resorting to reducing hours.

"We know that furniture, autos and home repairs are the first to go, then restaurants," he said. "Gyms also fall into the discretionary category."

Tourism has stumbled, hurting the local economy even more, he said.

"We know in the Las Vegas economy, that people's incomes were less and prices were going up." Schwer said. "Visitor volume is down."

Reduced hours are showing up in more than the "closed" signs on shops' doors. The state of Nevada Department of Employment Training and Rehabilitation is seeing a trend in the rising numbers of unemployment claims. More and more Nevadans are putting in claims for "partial unemployment," said Jered McDonald, a department economist.

"The percentage of partials has jumped 0.8 (percentage points)," he said, citing figures from August 2007 to August 2008. During that time, the percentage of unemployment claims for partial benefits rose from 6.1 to 6.9 percent. He called the change "significant," especially when compared to 2005 numbers. Three years ago, partial unemployment claims only accounted for 4.8 percent of those unemployed.

"Employers are cutting back before they lay people off," he said.

And those statistics don't necessarily represent all the workers who have essentially lost part of a job, McDonald said. To claim partial unemployment, the worker must be making less than the maximum weekly benefit check -- $393 -- after the hours reduction.

"We did see almost 10,000 new ones, so they are there," McDonald said. "I think a lot of them don't know they can claim."

Cutting back can be a mistake sometimes, two local small-business advisers cautioned. Don Luck and Russ Lagattuta both counsel businesses for the Service Corps of Retired Executives, or SCORE. Luck warned that ramping a business up again after it scales back isn't always possible. Much of the problem lies in lack of initial planning for hard times, he said.

"Eighty percent of the people who get in trouble didn't have a business plan. They are undercapitalized," he said.

Luck urged business owners to "reinvent themselves" when they lose customers, and seek new markets.

"Get out there and make sure you are part of the community if there is a downturn," the SCORE adviser said.

Most businesses, Lagattuta says, don't take the right path.

"What we've seen is when there's a problem, they cut costs. Often what they do is kill the business when they are trying to keep the business open," he said.

Schwer said that sometimes there are no good options. "The key for businesses is to do what you have to in the short run to make it through to the long run."

The long run may look like a marathon to local business owners. Aragon still has hopes his downtown neighborhood will see another boom. Then, as his dream goes, the city or a private developer will ride in and offer him a nice retirement nest egg in return for the spot where El Sombrero now sits.

"Hopefully, I can hang on until the property values go back up," he said wistfully.

Jacobs vowed that his LaCabana will survive, but knows it won't get easier anytime soon.

"It's been crippling," he said, "not just for me but for everyone."

This story first appeared in the Las Vegas Business Press. Contact reporter Valerie Miller at vmiller@ lvbusinesspress.com or 702-387-5286.

source: lvrj.com

Sunday, October 26, 2008 1:28:40 PM (Pacific Daylight Time, UTC-07:00)  #    - Trackback
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# Saturday, October 25, 2008

Gaming has bet the house on the presidential campaign of Republican John McCain.

Through September, individuals with ties to casinos have contributed more than $260,000 to McCain's campaign, according to the nonpartisan Center for Responsive Politics. Democrat Barack Obama has received almost $133,000 in contributions from the same group.
 
Liberal-leaning Progressive Accountability, however, puts McCain's gaming industry contributions at $951,000, when fundraising efforts and contributions from casino lobbyists are included. The Obama campaign prohibits contributions and fundraising by lobbyists.

McCain's largest gaming fundraiser has been MGM Mirage Chairman and Chief Executive Officer Terry Lanni, who has collected at least $500,000 for the campaign, according to OpenSecrets.org, the Web site operated by the Center for Responsive Politics. Wynn Resorts Chairman and CEO Steve Wynn has raised between $250,000 and $500,000 for McCain. Las Vegas Sands Corp. Chairman and CEO Sheldon Adelson and company President Bill Weidner have each raised between $100,000 and $250,000 for McCain.

Las Vegas advertising executive Sig Rogich, whose company Rogich Communications Group has worked for casino operators, including Las Vegas Sands, has raised between $250,000 and $500,000 for McCain, according to OpenSecrets.org.

"This shouldn't be too much of a surprise," University of Nevada, Reno political science professor Erik Herzik said. "Individual casino operators provide money based on their own ideological and political interest. Big business tends to lean Republican."

McCain's contributions to gaming came nearly a decade after the Arizona U.S. senator tried to take a bite out of the revenues generated by Nevada's sports book industry. He pushed unsuccessfully for federal legislation in 1999 and 2000 that would have made wagering on college sports illegal. Nevada is the only state where legalized betting on professional and college sports flourishes.

Casino interests in Washington, D.C., vigorously fought against the ban proposal. McCain has since backed away from the idea.

American Gaming Association President Frank Fahrenkopf Jr., a former chairman of the Republican National Committee and a McCain backer, said the Republican presidential nominee has not discussed banning college sports wagering at all during the campaign.

"We were very much opposed to the legislation," Fahrenkopf said.

Even Obama supporter Billy Vassiliadis, the CEO of marketing firm R&R Partners, which oversees the advertising for the Las Vegas Convention and Visitors Authority, said a college sports betting ban is not an issue.

"If this was 10 years ago, the college sports wagering issue might have changed some of (McCain's) support," Vassiliadis said.

Meanwhile, McCain is a lifelong gambler. In a May 2005 article in the New Yorker, writer Connie Bruck recounted stories of McCain playing craps for "14-hour stints" in Las Vegas from 10 a.m. until midnight. Bruck wrote about how she traveled with McCain to New Orleans, and upon arriving at the hotel, he immediately went across the street to gamble at Harrah's New Orleans, playing at a $15 minimum bet table.

"Craps is addictive," McCain was quoted as saying in the New Yorker article.

In July 2000, when McCain was pushing the ban on college sports wagering, Review-Journal columnist John L. Smith spotted the Arizona senator playing craps at Caesars Palace on a Friday afternoon. McCain refused an interview.

In September, the New York Times recounted an early morning McCain gambling excursion in a high-stakes room at the Foxwoods casino in Connecticut not long after he ended his 2000 presidential bid. The article focused on McCain's ties to gaming industry lobbyists.

McCain has also been a frequent guest of Lanni at championship boxing matches hosted at MGM Mirage casinos.

But even with the bulk of gaming contributions tilting toward McCain, most political scientists and gaming analysts don't believe an Obama victory Nov. 4 would be akin to the industry rolling snake eyes.

With the stock market tanking, jobs disappearing and the war on terror continuing, the economy and national security have dominated the presidential debate. Legalized gaming is not on the radar screen.

"It's not even up for discussion," said David Damore, a political science professor at the University of Nevada, Las Vegas. "At the end of the day, both candidates have too many other things to worry about than gaming."

Republicans, Democrats, political observers and gaming analysts all agree the casino industry would remain untouched under either a McCain or Obama administration.

"Gaming just hasn't been talked about and I think that bodes well for the industry under either candidate," said Wall Street research analyst Joel Simkins, who follows gaming companies for Macquarie Capital Group.

Fahrenkopf agrees. The casino industry's chief Capitol Hill lobbyist, Fahrenkopf, whose ties to Republican politics span some 40 years, is hard-pressed to say that a Democratic administration under Obama would make his job tougher.

"Both of them, throughout the campaign, have been very articulate about state's rights on a number of issues, including gaming," said Fahrenkopf, who donated the maximum individual contribution of $2,300 to the McCain campaign in July. "Both candidates have said some issues should be left up to the people in the individual states. Obviously, as the former chairman of the Republican National Committee, I support John McCain. But I don't think Obama will be bad for the industry."

The only gaming-related issue in play federally concerns Internet gambling. Congress voted to ban Internet gambling in 2006 and President Bush signed the measure. Several efforts are under way in Washington, D.C., to roll back the ban. The American Gaming Association supports a one-year study of Internet gambling.

Neither McCain nor Obama have taken a stand on Internet wagering.

"That's really the extent of what's out there on the horizon," Fahrenkopf said. The gaming industry as a whole is not focused on federal legislation.

Vassiliadis said efforts to impose a federal tax on gaming revenues always unite the casino community. But that issue has not been broached by either Democrats or Republicans.

"It's not been a point of discussion, so the gamers are really just going by their own personal preference," said Vassiliadis, who donated $2,300 to Obama in September 2007. "A lot of them see it as their civic duty to take part in the political activity."

Rose McKinney-James, a member of the MGM Mirage board of directors and an Obama supporter, said the company's meetings were rather interesting early in the presidential election. McKinney-James, a Democrat who ran unsuccessfully for lieutenant governor in 1998, said her support of Obama was matched by Lanni's backing of McCain. Board member Alexis Herman, who was secretary of labor under President Clinton, was in the camp of Sen. Hillary Clinton, while former Nevada Gov. Kenny Guinn was backing Republican Mitt Romney.

"We're all still friends because we have a healthy respect for individual differences," McKinney-James said. "Most members of the board are high-profile individuals and you have to expect some diversity in our choices. It made for some good board room discussions."

Obama's issues with gaming go back to his tenure as a member of the Illinois Senate.

He is the U.S. senator from Illinois, a state that is home to nine riverboat casinos. Obama opposed efforts to expand the state's lottery, according to Fahrenkopf. However, Vassiliadis said Obama's votes as a legislator were pro-gaming.

"Barack has consistently pointed to Nevada as a role model for gaming regulation," Vassiliadis said.

McKinney-James, who is a renewable-energy proponent, said her conversations with Obama have been about energy issues, not gaming.

Contact reporter Howard Stutz at hstutz@reviewjournal.com or 702-477-3871.

source: lvrj.com

Saturday, October 25, 2008 1:27:21 PM (Pacific Daylight Time, UTC-07:00)  #    - Trackback
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# Tuesday, October 21, 2008

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The average U.S. retail gasoline price dropped 23.7 cents over the last week to fall below $3 a gallon for the first time since mid February and is at the lowest level in almost a year, the Energy Department said on Monday.

The national price for regular unleaded gasoline is $2.91 a gallon, the cheapest since October 29, 2007, but still up 9.1 cents from a year ago, the department's Energy Information Administration said in its weekly survey of service stations.

The average pump price has fallen 57 cents a gallon in the last two weeks because of cheaper crude oil and lower petroleum demand due to a weak economy.

Falling gasoline prices act like a tax cut for consumers, shaving about $30 off the fill-up cost for the average big vehicle from the record $4.11 a gallon for gasoline in July.

The savings would give a family an extra $1,000 a year, according to government estimates.

In the EIA's weekly survey, gasoline was the most expensive on the West Coast $3.28 at gallon, down 14.6 cents. San Francisco had the highest city price at $3.49, down 11.3 cents.

The Gulf Coast had the lowest regional price at $2.73 a gallon, down 25.6 cents. Cleveland had the lowest city pump price, down 19.9 cents at $2.70.

The EIA also reported gasoline prices were down 9.4 cents at $3.34 in Los Angeles; down 26 cents at $3.20 in Chicago; down 27 cents at $3.09 in Seattle; down 30 cents at $3.08 in Miami; down 22 cents at $2.94 in New York City; down 30 cents at $2.93 in Denver; down 22 cents at $2.84 in Boston and down 27 cents at $2.76 in Houston.

Separately, the average price paid for diesel fuel fell 17.7 cents to $3.48 a gallon, also the lowest since mid February, but 39 cents higher than a year earlier, the EIA said.

The New England states again had the most expensive diesel at $3.73 a gallon, down 16.3 cents. The West Coast had the cheapest diesel at $3.43, down 18.9 cents.

(Reporting by Tom Doggett; Editing by Marguerita Choy)

Tuesday, October 21, 2008 10:22:36 AM (Pacific Daylight Time, UTC-07:00)  #    - Trackback
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